Analyzing Trump's Approval Ratings on Memorial Day: A State-by-State Breakdown

Overview of Trump's Approval Ratings

President Donald Trump's approval rating has significant implications for the political landscape, particularly as we approach the midterm elections. Recent polling from Civiqs reveals an alarming trend: Trump's net approval rating is underwater in the majority of states on this federal holiday known for honoring our fallen heroes.

As we reflect on the meaning of Memorial Day, it's essential to recognize the current political climate. The Civiqs polling is based on over 106,368 responses collected since Trump's second term commenced on January 20, 2025, through May 23, 2026. This data paints a stark picture of his support as it erodes beyond traditional Republican strongholds.

Current Polling Trends

The numbers tell a compelling story. Trump's approval is negative in 36 states and only positive in 14. This polarization not only highlights the divide between Republican and Democratic states but also raises questions about voter sentiment across the spectrum. Trump's popularity appears stable in areas that historically lean Republican, yet substantial cracks are evident in states that have swung left or remained moderate.

On this Memorial Day, as we honor those who served, we cannot ignore the implications these ratings hold for upcoming elections. His approval ratings may very well be a precursor to how voters assess his governance, especially considering that the president is not on the ticket this year. Instead, voters may view the midterms as a referendum on his presidency itself.

State-by-State Approval Ratings

High Approval Ratings:

• Wyoming: +26
• North Dakota: +17
• West Virginia: +16
• Idaho: +14
• Alabama: +11

These states have consistently delivered for Trump, showcasing solid support amid a troubling national trend. His approval remains intact in traditionally Republican strongholds across the Plains and Mountain West, where his policies resonate with the populace.

Low Approval Ratings:

• Hawaii: -61
• Vermont: -57
• Maryland: -50
• California: -45
• Massachusetts: -45

In sharp contrast, deep blue states reflect a significantly entrenched opposition to his presidency. Disapproval rates in states like Hawaii approach or exceed 70 percent, indicating a challenging environment for Trump as he seeks to galvanize support.

The Importance of Approval Ratings Ahead of the Midterms

As we look ahead to the midterm elections, Trump's approval ratings will play a critical role. While he is not on the ballot, results could influence congressional races and the overall balance of power in Washington. Historically, midterm elections tend to favor the opposition party, meaning that Trump's declining approval ratings could have downstream effects on Republican candidates.

Key congressional races are likely to serve as a barometer of public opinion about Trump's presidency. Voter sentiment in pivotal swing states may empower Democrats, effectively challenging the Republican agenda as we move closer to the elections.

Conclusion

Trump's approval ratings present a mixed bag that underscores the country's division. While his support remains unwavering in certain areas, the negative trajectory in numerous states reveals a story of political challenge as we move toward important elections. For a comprehensive view of how public sentiment shapes our political landscape, I invite you to explore the detailed polling data and what it might mean for us all.

Newsweek continues to monitor these changes closely and will provide updates as we draw nearer to the election season.