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CFP Top 12 Projections: A Week of Stability as Rivalry Week Approaches

November 23, 2025
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CFP Top 12 Projections: A Week of Stability as Rivalry Week Approaches

Recapping Week 13's Predictable Rankings

In a week where only two ranked teams met on the field, it's no shock that the College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings remained largely unchanged. The suspense lies in the future as Rivalry Week nears, presenting monumental matchups that could alter the landscape entirely.

As I break down the current top 12, two critical questions resonate among fans and analysts alike:

  • Will Oregon's impressive victory over USC be enough to push them past Ole Miss?
  • Can a close call for Utah against Kansas State open the door for Miami to leapfrog back into contention?

Current Top 12 Projections

Let's not hesitate; here's how I see the current rankings advancing as we prepare for the thrill of Rivalry Week.

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0)

Why They're Here: The Buckeyes remain firmly atop the rankings, showcasing not just their undefeated record but also a total team efficiency that demands respect. Despite a less-than-challenging schedule (ranked No. 48 in strength), their prowess on both sides of the ball has drawn admiration from the committee.

Challenges Ahead: Ohio State needs a strong performance against Michigan to solidify their claim to the top spot.

2. Indiana Hoosiers (11-0)

Why They're Here: With Indiana on a bye week, their standing appears secure. However, their ability to clinch the Big Ten championship hinges on outcomes from rival games.

Challenges Ahead: The Hoosiers must handle their upcoming game at Purdue with finesse to maintain their momentum.

3. Texas A&M Aggies (11-0)

Why They're Here: Texas A&M retains their position thanks largely to their narrow win against Notre Dame a few weeks back. Their record indicates they can contend, but the committee remains wary due to the less-competitive nature of their schedule.

Challenges Ahead: Facing Texas at home, their undefeated status is at risk if they don't secure a convincing win.

4. Georgia Bulldogs (10-1)

Why They're Here: Georgia rides on a solid résumé with quality wins, but their earlier loss to Alabama looms large. Their ability to gain ground in the rankings depends on upcoming games.

Challenges Ahead: A win against Georgia Tech will merely reinforce their top-four positioning.

5. Texas Tech Red Raiders (10-1)

Why They're Here: The Red Raiders have established themselves with significant wins, showcasing their impressive defensive capabilities. Their lone loss appears manageable compared to some other teams above them.

Challenges Ahead: A road game against West Virginia should be scrutinized for any potential slip-ups.

6. Ole Miss Rebels (10-1)

Why They're Here: Ole Miss maintains their high standing courtesy of quality wins, including an impressive victory against Oklahoma. Every game counts as they battle to stay relevant.

Challenges Ahead: They have to prove themselves against Mississippi State to safeguard their playoff dreams.

7. Oregon Ducks (10-1)

Why They're Here: Following a much-needed win against USC, Oregon has shown they can compete with the big boys in the rankings. A tough contest ahead could see them climb higher.

Challenges Ahead: Their matchup against Washington will be pivotal, especially given the competitive nature of the Pac-12.

8. Oklahoma Sooners (9-2)

Why They're Here: The Sooners soared with consecutive victories against ranked teams. Their efficiency metrics make a compelling case for their position.

Challenges Ahead: Hosting LSU could pose a challenge, and a slip here would be devastating.

9. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (9-2)

Why They're Here: Notre Dame's resilience through a challenging season earns them respect. Their narrow defeats against quality teams have kept them afloat in the discussion.

Challenges Ahead: A tense matchup at Stanford could either solidify their spot or force them to grapple with postseason uncertainty.

10. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-2)

Why They're Here: Alabama's hefty résumé keeps them in the mix, although concerns regarding their offensive struggles cannot be ignored.

Challenges Ahead: The Iron Bowl against Auburn will be a critical determinant of their fate moving forward.

11. BYU Cougars (10-1)

Why They're Here: BYU's recent solid performances, including a crucial win against Cincinnati, have kept them competitive in the rankings.

Challenges Ahead: Their game against UCF presents an opportunity for them, but upsets are never out of the question.

12. Utah Utes (9-2)

Why They're Here: After a narrow victory against Kansas State, Utah remains in the rankings but faces mounting pressure from Miami.

Challenges Ahead: A Road trip to Kansas could either bolster their standing or begin a downward spiral.

Final Thoughts

As Rivalry Week approaches, the stakes are higher than ever. The potential for shake-ups in the top 12 is ripe, with each game capable of turning the rankings on their head. I can't wait to see how it all unfolds. Buckle up, folks!

Source reference: https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/47060756/projecting-college-football-playoff-top-12-week-13

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