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Ecuador's Military Approach: A Failing Strategy

November 16, 2025
  • #Ecuador
  • #Crime
  • #MilitaryStrategy
  • #PublicSafety
  • #DrugTrade
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Ecuador's Military Approach: A Failing Strategy

The Iron Fist Approach and Its Failures

Ecuador is at a crossroads. Once regarded as a serene corner of South America, its cities now echo with the sounds of gunfire as the government leans heavily on military force to combat rampant crime. President Daniel Noboa's aggressive military campaign has been framed as a necessity amid escalating violence; however, the reality on the ground tells a different story.

The Deepening Crisis

In recent years, Ecuador has transformed into the most violent nation in South America, with haphazard military actions failing to restore order. As military presence increases in neighborhoods like Flor de Bastión, fear mounts among civilians, not primarily due to soldiers, but because of the inevitable gang retaliation that follows military sweeps. These raids rarely lead to lasting peace; instead, they often catalyze a cycle of violence that leaves innocent people caught in the crossfire.

The Role of Geographic Advantage

Strategically positioned between Colombia and Peru, Ecuador possesses valuable logistics for drug trafficking, making it an attractive target for international crime syndicates. The influx of these criminal enterprises has brought violence levels that surge past previous historical norms. Homicides were at 7.7 per 100,000 in 2020 and are now projected to hit 50 per 100,000.

A Flawed Strategy

Mr. Noboa's methods draw upon military tactics that have historically demonstrated little success in eradicating crime. His reliance on foreign troops, particularly from the U.S., to serve as a panacea showcases a misunderstanding of the deep-seated issues driving crime in Ecuador.

Public Perception of Military Force

While there is some public support for Noboa's hardline policies, a dichotomy exists amongst the populace. Many agree that armed forces are essential in combating the chaos, yet others voice skepticism about their effectiveness. Experts and community members argue that without addressing the root causes, merely bolstering military presence will prove futile in stabilizing an increasingly lawless environment. Observations also point to potential corruption and abuses within the ranks of those entrusted to enforce the law, sparking apprehensions about their true intent.

What Lies Ahead?

As public votes determine whether foreign bases should return to Ecuador—a move towards military dependency—the future remains uncertain. Short-sighted reliance on firepower risks exacerbating violence, as gangs adapt and transform in response to law enforcement efforts. By not engaging in comprehensive reforms, including improving education, healthcare, and economic opportunities, our society risks resigning itself to a cycle of violence where the innocent continue to pay the price.

The Path to True Peace

Addressing Ecuador's crisis requires a multifaceted approach, not one limited to the barrel of a gun. It demands educational reforms, social investment, and community engagement to counter the allure of drug trafficking. It is time we rethink our strategies and question if more troops can yield safety, or if we need to delve deeper to forge a future free from violence.

Even if U.S. forces arrive on Ecuadorean soil, criminal networks will most likely just find ways to exploit the gaps in the iron fist.

Source reference: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/opinion/ecuador-noboa-crime-military-bases.html

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