Hamas Regroups Amid Ceasefire: The Resilience of Control in Gaza

Introduction

The recent ceasefire following two years of intense conflict has ushered in unexpected changes in Gaza, where Hamas has taken steps to restore order and assert its dominance once again. This article explores the current dynamics of power in Gaza, challenging the narrative of a thoroughly weakened Hamas.

Regaining Ground

Since the ceasefire that saw Israeli forces withdraw from parts of Gaza, Hamas has swiftly taken advantage of the vacuum left behind. Reports indicate that Hamas has resumed its police operations and increased its presence on the streets. Despite suffering heavy losses, including top commanders and a significant depletion of its arsenal, the group is slowly regaining its footing.

“Hamas was hit hard, but it wasn't defeated,” noted Shalom Ben Hanan, a former senior official in Israel's Shin Bet security agency. “It's still standing.”

Hamas now controls less than half of Gaza, yet its ability to maintain authority is a serious hurdle for plans put forth by the international community, including the Trump administration, which envisions a Gaza free of Hamas.

Methods of Control

Local businessmen report that Hamas has started to impose fees on high-cost imported goods, attempting to generate revenue to sustain itself amidst harsh economic conditions. This move showcases Hamas's tactics to affirm its governance despite criticisms and growing public discontent.

The Challenge of Rebuilding

While Israel remains focused on dismantling Hamas's military capabilities, the organization has already taken significant steps to re-establish its leadership. The existing underground tunnel network, nearly intact, serves as vital infrastructure for the group as it continues to resupply and reorganize.

“Hamas has quickly replaced its lost leadership and is asserting itself as the de facto governing body in Gaza,” asserts Brig. Gen. Erez Winner, a former senior Israeli military official.

Public Perception

Although there is a visible presence of Hamas forces maintaining security and order, many residents, like Nidal Kuhail from Gaza City, express that while Hamas appears to be in control, its authority feels diluted compared to previous years. “You can feel their presence, but they also appear to be weaker than the past,” Kuhail remarked.

Economic Strategies and Implications

• Hamas has been exploiting the influx of humanitarian and commercial goods, raising taxes on certain imports.
• This influx has significantly changed the economic landscape, providing more resources for Hamas even as it publicly denies tax collection.

The Future Outlook

The long-term implications of Hamas's return to power are alarming to many observers. There is a growing consensus that the group is exploring ways to solidify its rule through both force and governance, all while negotiating potential peaceful resolutions to its conflicts. Palestinian analysts suggest that Hamas might take a pragmatic road to retain a role in Gaza and negotiate a long-term ceasefire with Israel.

Conclusion

As international and Israeli officials push for a demilitarized Gaza, Hamas continues to navigate a treacherous path, attempting to balance power, legitimacy, and survival. The potential for another escalation looms if and when peace talks falter, raising concerns about the future stability of Gaza and its inhabitants.