MLB's Offseason Shuffle: Win Projections for All 30 Teams

Breaking Down MLB's Winter Moves

Spring is in the air, and with it, excitement surrounds the 2026 MLB season! Fans, rejoice. Yes, the World Baseball Classic is just around the corner, but there's plenty of drama in the big leagues as teams start their spring training in sunny Arizona and Florida, bringing with them hopes and lofty expectations.

The crux of this offseason has been the moves—or, as it turns out, the non-moves—that could have significant implications for the playoff race. In my deep dive, I will examine each of the 30 MLB teams, evaluating how unaddressed roster needs may shape their futures this season.

The winter trades and signings have set the stage for a compelling narrative. Will the missed opportunities haunt teams come fall?

1. Los Angeles Dodgers

Win average: 102.4 — Champions: 29.0%

Why the heck didn't the Dodgers get the Holy Grail?

Yes, I'm talking about the elusive ace pitcher that they're always on the hunt for. Despite being the premier team in baseball, I expected a grand finale this winter. However, through bold moves, they've solidified their lineup, maintaining their status as a championship favorite—but frankly, it still feels a bit incomplete.

2. Atlanta Braves

Win average: 91.2 — Champions: 7.6%

Why no star shortstop?

The Braves missed a chance to secure a top-tier shortstop after losing Dansby Swanson. Their hesitation leaves a gap that could impact their dreams of returning to the top of the NL East.

3. New York Mets

Win average: 91.2 — Champions: 7.1%

Why didn't the Mets sign Edwin Diaz?

A tough offseason for the Mets saw them let an elite reliever slip through their fingers, creating potential issues for their closing role. With an aging middle infield, questions loom large regarding their stability moving forward.

4. Seattle Mariners

Win average: 90.1 — Champions: 8.0%

Need for lefty bullpen help?

Despite a strong roster, the Mariners are hoping to bolster their bullpen. They seem to be one lefty short as they prepare to face off against power-hitting teams in the AL.

5. Philadelphia Phillies

Win average: 89.7 — Champions: 4.8%

Why no fresh blood?

The Phillies opted for continuity, but as they age, one wonders if they can maintain their playoff caliber without reinforcements. GM Dave Dombrowski will need to lean on younger players to breathe life into an increasingly veteran lineup.

6. New York Yankees

Win average: 89.4 — Champions: 7.3%

Running it back?

Boone's crew thought health would favor them this year. But with a lack of roster change, it's essential that homegrown talent steps up to prevent another fall from grace.

7. Chicago Cubs

Win average: 88.2 — Champions: 4.0%

Why another year of the same crew?

While the Cubs boast a promising roster, one has to wonder what might happen if they miss out on all those potential upgrades through free agency. A strategic grab for more depth will be key this season.

8. Toronto Blue Jays

Win average: 88.2 — Champions: 5.4%

Did they think they could replace Bo Bichette?

The Blue Jays' decision to not fill the gap left by Bichette is puzzling. Kazuma Okamoto has potential, but there's pressure to perform coming from a roster rife with contenders.

9. Detroit Tigers

Win average: 87.6 — Champions: 5.0%

Missing that key hitter?

With an impressive pitching staff, adding another impact hitter could set the Tigers up solidly this postseason.

10. Boston Red Sox

Win average: 87.1 — Champions: 4.5%

Lacking a Bregman replacement?

After striking out on Alex Bregman, the Red Sox's infield could become an Achilles' heel in a tightly contested AL.

11. Baltimore Orioles

Win average: 86.3 — Champions: 3.7%

What about Jackson Holliday?

The talented infielder's recent hamate injury might put the Orioles' early success in jeopardy. However, they've done a commendable job improving their overall roster.

12. Houston Astros

Win average: 84.9 — Champions: 2.6%

Did they neglect starting pitching?

While the Astros have a strong roster, their rotation lacks depth, which might prove costly later in the season.

13. San Diego Padres

Win average: 83.3 — Champions: 1.3%

Where's the front-line starter?

The Padres may find themselves penniless with their pitching outlook, which doesn't bode well as the season unfolds.

14. Milwaukee Brewers

Win average: 83.3 — Champions: 1.3%

No move for a solid third baseman?

The Brewers may turn picks in-house, but cover in key positions will remain essential in the coming months.

15. Kansas City Royals

Win average: 82.8 — Champions: 1.7%

Lacking impact hitters?

Touring their lineup without significant changes leaves the Royals wondering if they can build on last year's successes.

16. Texas Rangers

Win average: 82.3 — Champions: 1.4%

Who's replacing Semien?

The injuries are starting early for Texas, leaving fans anxious about their lineup's resilience this season.

17. San Francisco Giants

Win average: 82.0 — Champions: 0.9%

Dare we say need for a Max Scherzer?

Bringing in young talent and depth could aid the Giants as the loss of veterans looms overhead.

18. Arizona Diamondbacks

Win average: 80.6 — Champions: 0.7%

Why didn't they sign a center fielder?

As they build around a strong lineup, the Snakes could be tested without a consistent center field option in place.

19. Cincinnati Reds

Win average: 80.0 — Champions: 0.6%

No new right fielder?

The Reds' decision will depend on the development of prospects.

20. Pittsburgh Pirates

Win average: 79.9 — Champions: 0.4%

Could they have bolstered team defense?

With new talent and up-and-coming stars, the Pirates face pressure to produce defensively.

21. Minnesota Twins

Win average: 79.6 — Champions: 0.7%

Where's the shortstop help?

The Twins will need to step it up in a formidable AL Central landscape.

22. Tampa Bay Rays

Win average: 78.5 — Champions: 0.5%

No outfield reinforcement?

The Rays may face challenges in a tough division without depth in one of their key roles.

23. Oakland Athletics

Win average: 78.2 — Champions: 0.5%

More pitching needed!

The A's need to continue improving their pitching to stay competitive.

24. Cleveland Guardians

Win average: 78.2 — Champions: 0.6%

Offensive concerns remain.

The Guardians need to change their strategy to stay competitive in the postseason race.

25. Miami Marlins

Win average: 71.8 — Champions: 0.0%

One more thumper needed?

Even with young talent emerging, the Marlins need further contributions to support their hopeful breakout.

26. St. Louis Cardinals

Win average: 71.3 — Champions: 0.1%

What's the plan for the rebuild?

A new season brings hope for young talent leading the way.

27. Los Angeles Angels

Win average: 68.8 — Champions: 0.0%

Where's help for Mike Trout?

As Trout adjusts to a new role, the Angels are in dire need of support in the outfield.

28. Chicago White Sox

Win average: 60.9 — Champions: 0.4%

So no front-line starter?

The White Sox may need to focus their resources wisely as they build a competitive edge.

29. Washington Nationals

Win average: 58.5 — Champions: 0.1%

Rebuilding mode?

As the Nationals traverse a new rebuild phase, building for the future must take precedence.

30. Colorado Rockies

Win average: 53.7 — Champions: 0.0%

Why the leadership gap?

As the Rockies navigate a leadership change, they must prioritize smart evaluation and investment going forward.