Navy vs. Memphis Prediction: Thanksgiving Clash Looms
When Navy takes on Memphis, it promises to be more than just a game; it's a chance for both teams to solidify their credentials in the AAC. With Navy still holding aspirations for a conference title and Memphis battling to reclaim its glory, the stakes couldn't be higher. The matchup on Thursday, November 27, is set to be a thrilling back-and-forth shootout, making my Navy vs. Memphis predictions centered around high scores.
Looking at the season so far, the Navy Midshipmen have surged to an impressive 8-2 record, buoyed by the dual-threat capabilities of quarterback Blake Horvath. Traditionally known for their grind-it-out running game, Navy has embraced a more dynamic offensive approach under offensive coordinator Drew Cronic, often surprising teams with their modern spread option attack. Horvath not only leads in rushing with nearly 1000 yards but has also carved out space in the passing game, throwing for over 1200 yards, showcasing the versatility of the Midshipmen's offense.
“Both teams have enough firepower to light up the scoreboard, and I expect a few fireworks on this festive evening.”
Analyzing the Key Players
The Midshipmen may be known for their ground game, but in this particular matchup, their aerial assault could be the difference-maker against a suspect Memphis pass defense. Statistics reveal that Memphis ranks 83rd in EPA (Expected Points Added) per dropback, while Navy has rapidly climbed the ranks, demonstrating a success rate that leaves many defenses scrambling.
Every player on the field will feel the pressure, especially for Memphis. Quarterback Brendon Lewis has been pivotal, throwing for 2395 yards with 13 touchdowns alongside 596 rushing yards and another nine scores. He offers a dynamic response to Navy's historically strong running game, unveiling a dual-threat option too. Memphis enters the game as slight favorites, but don't be surprised if their defensive vulnerabilities contribute to a high-scoring game.
What's at Stake?
While Memphis has faced setbacks in their recent matches, losing to contenders Tulane and ECU, they remain formidable contenders. Motivation will undoubtedly play a significant role; Memphis seeks to recover from two consecutive losses and reinforce their home field advantage. Conversely, for Navy, a win could pave the way to the coveted AAC Championship Game—everything is on the line.
Navy vs. Memphis Betting Odds
- Spread: Navy +4.5 | Memphis -4.5
- Moneyline: Navy +162 | Memphis -194
- Over/Under: Over 59.5 | Under 59.5
Best Bets for the Matchup
It's become increasingly clear that both teams thrive when the score rises. This season, Navy has boasted an 8-2 record on Overs, while Memphis holds a 6-2 record over its last eight games. With both offenses primed for scoring, I firmly believe the Over 59.5 (-105) is a lock:
- Navy Midshipmen to score Over 59.5
- Blake Horvath Over 125.5 passing yards
- Navy moneyline for a surprise win
Parlay Your Bets for Bigger Winnings
If you're feeling more adventurous, consider placing a same-game parlay. With a plethora of scoring talent on both sides, expect a cornucopia of touchdowns as players like Eli Heidenreich and Brendon Lewis hit the end zone:
- Eli Heidenreich anytime touchdown
- Brendon Lewis anytime touchdown
- Cortez Braham anytime touchdown
- Alex Tecza anytime touchdown
How to Catch All the Action
Make sure to mark your calendars and settle in for this intense Thanksgiving bout:
Location: | Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN |
Date: | Thursday, November 27, 2025 |
Kickoff: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
TV: | ESPN |
In conclusion, as the Midshipmen and Tigers prepare for their Thanksgiving showdown, we can expect nothing less than a clash filled with passion, strategy, and unexpected plays. Prepare for a thrilling evening as we witness who will emerge victorious!
Source reference: https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/navy-vs-memphis-prediction-picks-185200920.html


