NFL Week 8: Strategic Picks Against The Spread

The NFL Returns: Week 8 Showdowns

Week 8 is upon us, and while it might feel a tad light compared to recent weeks, it still presents ample opportunity for both insights and intrigue. Unlike previous weekends packed with action, we only have one Monday Night Football game and a noticeable absence of Sunday morning matchups. However, don't let the quieter slate fool you; there are critical battles ahead, and I'm here to break them down.

Key Matchups of the Week

We kick off with four marquee games featuring teams boasting .500 records or better:

• Vikings (3-3) at Chargers (4-3)
• Bills (4-2) at Panthers (4-3)
• Cowboys (3-3-1) at Broncos (5-2)
• Packers (4-1-1) at Steelers (4-2)

Additionally, this week marks the first with over four teams on bye. Teams like the Lions, Raiders, Rams, Cardinals, Seahawks, and Jaguars will be sidelined, leading to unique dynamics across the week.

Early NFL ATS Picks YTD Record: 60-48

Tracking my picks through the season has become a gratifying endeavor, and I'm excited to share my thoughts this week:

1. Week 1: 7-9
2. Week 2: 9-7
3. Week 3: 9-7
4. Week 4: 6-10
5. Week 5: 8-6
6. Week 6: 10-5
7. Week 7: 11-4

All odds mentioned rely on DraftKings, with standard kickoff times listed in EDT.

Game Previews

1. Vikings at Chargers (-3.5) — Thurs., 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)

**Pick:** Vikings +3.5

The Chargers find themselves in tumultuous waters after a disappointing performance against the Colts. Despite a promising start, they've stumbled to a 1-3 record in their last four games. Facing a Vikings defense that boasts a fierce pressure rate of 29.2%, I see them struggling to keep Justin Herbert upright. Given the unpredictable nature of Thursday Night Football, I'd shy away from wagering on L.A. covering here.

2. Bills (-7) at Panthers — Sun., 1 p.m. (FOX)

**Pick:** Panthers +7

Buffalo is favored heavily on the road, but with their primary QB likely sidelined, I'm leaning towards the Panthers to at least keep it within range. The Carolina defense has shown flashes of brilliance, which could be enough to limit the Bills' offensive output. I wouldn't bet on the Panthers winning outright, but I believe they can perform better than the spread suggests.

3. Dolphins at Falcons (-7.5) — Sun., 1 p.m. (CBS)

**Pick:** Falcons -7.5

With the Dolphins struggling at 1-6, I question their motivation under head coach Mike McDaniel. Atlanta's inconsistent offense should find its rhythm against a collapsing Dolphins defense. I'm confidently taking the Falcons here, as they've demonstrated they can capitalize on weak opponents.

4. Jets at Bengals (-6.5) — Sun., 1 p.m. (CBS)

**Pick:** Bengals -6.5

After a strong showing against the Steelers, the Bengals are gaining momentum, and I doubt the Jets will provide much resistance. Expect another major win for Cincinnati this week as they continue to build their playoff resume.

5. Giants at Eagles (-7.5) — Sun., 1 p.m. (FOX)

**Pick:** Giants +7.5

Despite a horrendous collapse against Denver, I still see the Giants as a more competitive squad than their record indicates. The Eagles are solid, but I wouldn't bank on them covering this hefty spread against their division rivals.

6. Browns at Patriots (-7) — Sun., 1 p.m. (FOX)

**Pick:** Browns +7

With the Patriots riding an impressive winning streak, this could be a trap game. However, the Browns' defense should keep them close, especially if New England's run game struggles like they have at times.

7. Bears at Ravens (-6.5) — Sun., 1 p.m. (CBS)

**Pick:** Bears +6.5

While Baltimore has the potential to bounce back, their inconsistent defense gives me pause. The Bears have been running the ball effectively, and this could be a closer contest than the oddsmakers suggest.

8. 49ers at Texans (-1.5) — Sun., 1 p.m. (FOX)

**Pick:** 49ers +1.5

Despite some injuries, the 49ers have shown resilience. They should have enough firepower to overcome a Texans side that has struggled more than they've succeeded.

9. Buccaneers (-4.5) at Saints — Sun., 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

**Pick:** Saints +4.5

With injuries plaguing the Buccaneers, I see the Saints making a statement at home. Even if Tampa's defense is good, the absence of key players could hurt their chances.

10. Cowboys at Broncos (-3.5) — Sun., 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

**Pick:** Cowboys +3.5

The Cowboys have showcased offensive prowess recently, and with CeeDee Lamb back, they should perform admirably even against a solid Broncos defense. I think they can keep this game close enough to cover.

11. Titans at Colts (-14) — Sun., 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

**Pick:** Colts -14

With such an impressive point differential, the Colts are in prime form to dominate Tennessee once again. The Titans have struggled, and I expect the Colts to build on their success from last week.

12. Packers (-3) at Steelers — Sun., 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

**Pick:** Packers -3

While the Steelers have surprised at times, the Packers are coming off a rest week and are still a more balanced squad in terms of offensive power. Expect them to outclass Pittsburgh and cover.

13. Commanders at Chiefs (-12.5) — Mon., 8:15 p.m. (ABC, ESPN)

**Pick:** Chiefs -12.5

The Chiefs have hit their stride, making them tough to beat at Arrowhead. Even with Washington's challenges, I see Kansas City winning by a wide margin.

This weekend may not be the busiest slate, but there's serious potential for smart betting. Stay tuned for more updates and insights as we navigate through the rest of the NFL season!