Introduction
When we think of illicit online activities, the dark web typically comes to mind—an obscure section of the internet characterized by anonymity and illegal transactions. However, recent developments reveal a dramatic shift: in 2025, the rise of Chinese-speaking crypto scammers on Telegram has transformed this landscape, giving way to some of the largest black markets in history. In my analysis, I aim to unpack the implications of this trend for global commerce and the socio-economic impacts on individuals.
A Changing Landscape
The complexities of the online economy have always evolved, but the recent transition of black markets from the dark web to platforms like Telegram is noteworthy. As highlighted in Wired, transaction volumes have reached staggering levels, with the top markets, Tudou Guarantee and Xinbi Guarantee, estimated to account for nearly $2 billion in monthly transactions. This shift raises serious questions about regulation and enforcement.
“When you consider illicit use of crypto assets, there really isn't anything larger right now.” — Tom Robinson, cofounder of Elliptic.
Scale of the Operations
On Telegram, a messaging platform initially designed for private conversations, users can access a multitude of illicit services ranging from stolen data sales to human trafficking. Elliptic's recent analysis indicates that markets like Tudou Guarantee are enabling transactions every bit as extensive as their predecessors on the dark web.
- **Anomalies in the Trading Environment**: Unlike traditional illicit markets, Telegram's transparency has allowed them to flourish openly, a striking contrast to the shadows of the dark web.
- **Impressive Market Size**: The sheer volume of transactions eclipses prior benchmarks set by infamous platforms like AlphaBay and Hydra, further underscoring the scale on which these markets operate.
The Human Cost
At the heart of this booming industry lies a troubling truth: many of these operations are backed by human trafficking networks. Commonly referred to as the "pig butchering" scams, these practices exploit victims to perpetuate cycles of fraud and coercion. With an estimated annual profit of around $10 billion from U.S. victims, the implications for vulnerable populations are dire.
The Role of Technology
Interestingly, this shift in modalities coincides with the broader adoption of stablecoins like Tether, which dominate the money-laundering transactions within these markets. Given Tether's centralized structure, it raises ethical concerns regarding the company's accountability and potential complicity.
Despite the significant backlash against these practices, companies like Telegram have been slow to respond adequately. The platform's recent statements defending its user privacy policies and commitment to freedom illustrate a more complex narrative at play. As they stated, the existence of these markets provides an outlet for users seeking financial autonomy from oppressive regulations.
“These are bad guys enabling bad-guy business on their bad-guy platform.” — Erin West, anti-scam advocate.
Future Directions
Moving forward, it's evident that coordinated international pressure is needed to combat the burgeoning scam economy effectively. Advocates like Jacob Sims from Harvard's Asia Center argue for a comprehensive approach, much akin to the global fight against terrorism or drug trafficking.
Conclusion
The ascent of Telegram as the epicenter for Chinese crypto scams presents a multifaceted challenge—balancing user privacy against the need for regulation. As global markets increasingly intersect with crypto, we must prioritize not just profits, but also the humanity impacted by these transactions.
Source reference: https://www.wired.com/story/expired-tired-wired-chinese-scammer-crypto-markets/

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