Escalating Conflict in Tigray: A Return to War Fears?
As the political and military landscape in Ethiopia continues to shift, the northern region of Tigray is once again at the center of international attention. Reports that Tigrayan forces have seized control of key federal airports from national police, along with claims of drone strikes and military offensives, signal a dramatic escalation in the ongoing tensions between the Ethiopian government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF).
For those unfamiliar with the background, this is not the first time we've seen conflict flare up in Tigray. The two-year civil war that ended in 2022 left deep scars across the region—estimates suggest over 600,000 people died during the fighting, pushing communities to the brink of famine. While peace agreements were brokered by the African Union and signed in November 2022, recent developments have raised serious concerns that those accords may be crumbling.
Who Is Blaming Whom?
The most recent accusations come from both sides:
- Ethiopian Government: Cabinet minister Getachew Reda, who previously led Tigray's interim administration before breaking ties with the TPLF in 2025, claimed that TPLF fighters had taken control of federal airports and launched attacks in neighboring Afar and Amhara regions.
- TPLF Authorities: In response, the TPLF said its forces were forced into a "defensive war," citing drone strikes and threats from government-aligned groups. They also announced an alliance with six other armed factions in Ethiopia aimed at overthrowing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's administration.
These conflicting narratives reflect deep-seated mistrust that has grown over the past year, despite international efforts to mediate peace and enforce compliance with the Pretoria Agreement—the formal ceasefire agreement that officially ended hostilities in 2022.
"It is rather heartbreaking to learn that, despite efforts by many, including the international community, to avoid yet another round of war in Tigray, the TPLF leadership early this morning launched an all-out offensive against government positions in Afar and Amhara," Getachew Reda said in a statement shared on social media.
The Airports: A Strategic Victory?
One of the most significant developments has been the seizure of Tigray's main airport by local forces. According to residents in Mekelle, the capital city, national police had lost control of the facility as early as Wednesday morning. This is a major strategic move for the TPLF, given that airports are not only symbolic but also critical for humanitarian aid and international communication.
The loss of air access has prompted Ethiopian Airlines to cancel all flights to the region. The implications go beyond logistics—they signal an increasing degree of autonomy and control by TPLF forces over key government infrastructure.
Drone Strikes: New Weaponry in Old Wars
Adding to the intensity, reports have emerged of drone strikes in recent days targeting civilian areas—including secondary schools in southern towns like Alamata. According to local authorities, at least 14 people were killed and 22 injured in what they described as coordinated attacks.
Mogos Shiferaw, the mayor of Alamata, told the BBC that over five drones and a fighter jet conducted more than 21 strikes beginning around 03:30. He accused federal forces of deliberately targeting these buildings under suspicion that they were being used by Tigrayan fighters.
However, Shiferaw emphasized that the schools in question had been unoccupied since the start of the academic year and were no longer serving as military bases. The BBC has not independently verified these allegations, and the Ethiopian government has not issued an official response to the reported strikes.
Diplomatic Reactions and International Concerns
The United States State Department's Bureau of African Affairs quickly condemned one of the alleged drone strikes, describing it as targeting a convoy carrying food aid from a Catholic organization. They called for an investigation and urged all parties to resolve their differences through dialogue.
With the Pretoria Agreement still not fully implemented, both Addis Ababa and TPLF leaders have faced criticism over delays in adhering to key provisions of the peace deal. The failure to enforce agreements, particularly those related to governance and security arrangements, has undermined confidence in the political process.
In July, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed accused the TPLF of preparing for renewed conflict during a parliamentary address—an ominous warning that echoes today's developments.
Internal Power Shifts in Tigray
The political dynamics within Tigray have also shifted dramatically. Just before the general election in May (which was not held in Tigray due to security concerns), the TPLF restored its pre-war administration, effectively ending an interim government appointed by Abiy Ahmed.
This move has been interpreted as a sign of defiance and a rejection of federal authority. There have also been reports of forced recruitment of young men into TPLF forces—a practice that could further destabilize the region and draw international scrutiny.
Looking Ahead: What's Next for Ethiopia?
The current situation in Tigray underscores how fragile peace can be when political trust erodes. With both sides accusing each other of initiating hostilities, the path forward remains unclear.
For now, humanitarian groups are bracing for increased instability and potential displacement. As the world watches Ethiopia's struggle to maintain unity amid internal divisions, one thing is clear: if this conflict spreads beyond Tigray, it could have regional implications that extend far beyond the Horn of Africa.
The international community must not only monitor the situation closely but also re-engage in diplomatic initiatives that promote dialogue over violence. The stakes are too high to allow yet another devastating chapter in Ethiopia's modern history.
Key Facts
- Primary Conflict Party: Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF)
- Accusation Date: September 23, 2026
- Key Infrastructure Seized: Federal airports in Tigray
- Region Involved: Tigray, Ethiopia
- Previous Conflict End Date: November 2022
- Estimated Deaths in Previous Conflict: 600,000 people
- Alliance Formed: TPLF alliance with six other armed groups
- Airport Control Change Date: Wednesday morning
Background
Tensions between Ethiopia's federal government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) have escalated again, with both sides accusing each other of launching military offensives. The conflict in Tigray ended in November 2022 after a two-year civil war that reportedly caused over 600,000 deaths. Recent developments include the seizure of federal airports by TPLF forces and reports of drone strikes targeting civilian areas. The Pretoria Agreement, which officially ended hostilities, has not been fully implemented, contributing to ongoing mistrust.
Quick Answers
- What is the primary conflict party in Tigray?
- The primary conflict party in Tigray is the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF).
- Who is accusing whom of launching offensives?
- Ethiopia's government accuses the TPLF of launching offensives, while the TPLF claims it is forced into a defensive war.
- What infrastructure has been seized in Tigray?
- Federal airports in Tigray have been seized by TPLF forces.
- When was the previous conflict in Tigray concluded?
- The previous conflict in Tigray ended in November 2022.
- How many people died during the previous conflict?
- Over 600,000 people died during the previous conflict in Tigray.
- What is the alliance formed by TPLF?
- TPLF has formed an alliance with six other armed groups in Ethiopia to remove the government in Addis Ababa.
- When did TPLF seize control of the airport?
- TPLF seized control of the airport on Wednesday morning, according to residents in Mekelle.
- What is the current status of the Pretoria Agreement?
- The Pretoria Agreement, which ended hostilities in 2022, has not been fully implemented, causing delays in key provisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What happened to the federal airports in Tigray?
Federal airports in Tigray were seized by TPLF forces, leading to Ethiopian Airlines cancelling all flights to the region.
Who is Getachew Reda?
Getachew Reda is a cabinet minister who previously led Tigray's interim administration before breaking ties with the TPLF in 2025, and he accused TPLF fighters of launching attacks.
What drone strikes have been reported?
Drone strikes have been reported in Tigray, including one in the town of Alamata that killed at least 14 people and injured 22 others.
Why is TPLF forming an alliance with other groups?
TPLF has formed an alliance with six other armed groups to remove Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's administration from power.
What are the implications of airport seizure for Tigray?
The seizure of airports by TPLF forces has resulted in a loss of air access, prompting Ethiopian Airlines to cancel all flights to the region and signaling increased control over government infrastructure.
How is the international community responding?
The United States State Department's Bureau of African Affairs condemned one reported drone strike targeting a convoy carrying food aid and called for an investigation and dialogue between parties.
Source reference: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cry8zwwq21pxo




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