Why Colorado Will Upset No. 21 Iowa State: Five Key Factors

Setting the Stage

With the Colorado Buffaloes currently struggling at 2-4, optimism might seem thin for their upcoming matchup against No. 21 Iowa State. Their first Big 12 win is on the line, and the stakes couldn't be higher. However, beneath the surface, there's a buzzing undercurrent of potential. Allow me to lay out why we'll see a thrilling upset this week.

1. A Pass Rush Ready to Shine

In their last game against TCU, the Buffaloes' defense exhibited tenacity and aggression, managing to sack the Horned Frogs' quarterback, Josh Hoover, three times. This pressure will be crucial against Iowa State's quarterback, Rocco Becht. If Colorado can harness that energy, they may just unsettle the Cyclones' rhythm. In Cincinnati's upset last week, they sacked Becht four times, which turned the tide. Can we expect similar results?

“The Buffaloes need to keep applying that pressure to create opportunities.”

2. Exploiting Weaknesses

Colorado's offensive weapons, led by quarterback Kaidon Salter, need to exploit the gaps in Iowa State's defense. While Salter's deep passing game still needs some polish, finding quick, effective ways to get the ball to explosive playmakers is vital. If they can establish a rhythm early, Colorado can set the tone for the game.

3. Control the Line of Scrimmage

While the offense's progression is necessary, controlling the line of scrimmage is what will define the game. In last week's Cincinnati matchup, the Bearcats averaged an impressive eight yards per carry. The Buffaloes' running backs, despite injuries, have shown promise with Dallan Hayden and Micah Welch stepping up. Establishing the run game will keep the Cyclones' defense guessing.

4. Defense Meets Destiny

DJ McKinney's remarkable display against TCU demonstrated that Colorado's defense has the power to contain even the strongest offensive setups. Matching him against Iowa State's star player could limit their big-play potential and give the Buffaloes a fighting chance.

5. Ball Security is Key

Colorado has had its fair share of turnover issues, most notably in their last game with four turnovers and three interceptions thrown by Salter. If Colorado wants to have a shot at the upset, they must prioritize ball security above all else. Each possession is precious, and turning the ball over could be the distinction between victory and failure.

So, while the odds may favor Iowa State, my belief is that the Buffaloes possess — if leveraged correctly — all the tools necessary for an electrifying upset. They have the tenacity, the heart, and more importantly, they have the will to win. Let's see if they can translate that belief into action on game day.